TIL: MRSA nares swab has an almost perfect NPV
- Kelvin Pho
- Aug 4, 2020
- 1 min read
The MRSA nares swab is very poor at predicting whether someone could have MRSA, but it has an EXTREMELY high negative predictive value (NPV)
In 2014, a study1 came out saying that for patients with Pneumonia, the NPV was 99.2%. Multiple other studies confirmed this for PNEUMONIA specifically. Meaning, if it was negative, your pneumonia was likely not from MRSA. But what about other infections, you might ask
In 2019, a study done across VA systems nationwide2 showed that with other types of infection, the NPV was still really high!
-Pneumonia (96.5)
-Wound infection (93%)
-Intr-ab (98.6)
-Urinary (99%)
-And overall, Washington state (where I was at the time of this post) had one of the HIGHEST NPVs (all states on avg were above 93%)

But this study had limitations: these are all vets, barely any women, VA antibiograms are not the same as many other community hospitals
1. Dangerfield, Benjamin et al. “Predictive value of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) nasal swab PCR assay for MRSA pneumonia.” Antimicrobial agents and chemotherapy vol. 58,2 (2014): 859-64. doi:10.1128/AAC.01805-13
2. Mergenhagen, Kari et al. "Determining the Utility of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Nares Screening in Antimicrobial Stewardship." Clinical Infectious Diseases, Volume 71, Issue 5, 1 September 2020, Pages 1142–1148, https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciz974
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